Formula Used:
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This calculator determines the precipitation in the i-th year based on the antecedent precipitation index and precipitation values from previous years using a regression formula. It's used in hydrology to estimate current year precipitation based on historical patterns.
The calculator uses the formula:
Where:
Explanation: The equation calculates current year precipitation based on antecedent conditions and previous years' precipitation, with coefficients determined through regression analysis.
Details: Accurate precipitation estimation is crucial for water resource management, flood forecasting, agricultural planning, and climate studies. This method provides a mathematical approach to predict precipitation based on historical patterns.
Tips: Enter all values in centimeters. Coefficient 'a' must be greater than zero. The sum of coefficients b and c should typically be less than 1 for accurate results.
Q1: What is Antecedent Precipitation Index?
A: It's a running day-by-day measure of catchment wetness based on rainfall that has occurred over preceding days, representing the moisture condition of a watershed.
Q2: How are coefficients a, b, and c determined?
A: These coefficients are typically found through regression analysis of historical rainfall and runoff data, with the sum of b and c equal to unity.
Q3: What are typical values for these coefficients?
A: Coefficient values vary by region but typically range between 0.1-0.3 for b and c, with a usually between 0.7-0.9.
Q4: How accurate is this estimation method?
A: Accuracy depends on the quality of historical data and proper determination of coefficients. It works best in regions with consistent precipitation patterns.
Q5: Can this formula be used for any geographic location?
A: While the formula is universally applicable, coefficients need to be calibrated specifically for each region based on local historical precipitation data.